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Publications

Selected Publications

2015. Estimating the impact of Mexican drug cartels and drug-related homicides on crime and perceptions of safety, Journal of Economic Geography, in print.

2014. An Inquiry into the Use of Illegal Electoral Practices and Effects of Political Violence and Vote-Buying, Journal of Conflict Resolution, 58:8.

2013. To What Extent Did Ethnicity and Economic Issues Matter in the 2007 Kenyan Elections, Development Policy Review, 31:3.

2013. Decentralization, Accountability and the 2007 MPs Elections in Kenya, Journal of Development Studies, 49:1.

2012. Triggers and Characteristics of the 2007 Kenyan Electoral Violence, World Development, 40:4. (with S. Dercon)

2011. “Elections and institutions in Kenya”, in Adam, C. Collier, P. (Eds.) Kenya Policies for Prosperity. Oxford University Press (with Collier, P. and Kimenyi, M.).

2010. To what extent does deprivation affect the performance of English local authorities? Journal of International Review of Administrative Sciences, 76:1. (with Haubrich, D. and McLean, I).Winner of the Best Article by IRAS Journal and Sage Editorial. Reprinted in Chinese Mandarin and also:

-2010. Reprinted in French: Dans quelle mesure la privation affecte-t-elle le travail des autorités locales anglaises? Revue Internationale des Sciences Administratives.

-2010. Reprinted in Spanish: ¿En qué medida afectan las privaciones a los resultados de las autoridades locales inglesas? Revista Internacional de Ciencias Administrativas.

2009. Estimating the impact of England’s area-based intervention “New Deal for  Communities” on employment. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 39:3.

2008. Evaluating   England’s   ‘New   Deal   for   Communities’ programme, Journal of Economic Geography, 8:6. (with Noble, M.)

2008. The limits of performance assessments of public   bodies:   the   case   of   deprivation   as  an  environmental   constraint   on   English   local   government, Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 26:4. (with Haubrich, D. and McLean, I)

2008. “Encouraging entrepreneurship among young people: Evidence and challenges in Europe” in Neumaier, O., Schweiger, G. & Sedmak, C. (Eds.): Perspectives on Work. Munster etc.: LIT Verlag.

2007. The   perils   and   pitfalls   of   performance measurement: The case of local authorities in the UK, Public Money & Management, 27:2. (with McLean, I. and Haubrich, D.)

2007. “The impact of England’s New Deal for Communities on worklessness” in  Social Policy and Regional Development in Europe, The Institute of Economics Zagreb, Croatia. (with Noble M. and Covizzi, I.)

Selected Published Policy and Working Papers

2015. The Long-Term Impact of Inequality on Entrepreneurship and Job Creation, Department of Applied Economics, working paper 15-01,  Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona. (with Méndez-Errico, L.)

2014. Mexican drug violence endangers development by increasing poverty and disrupting economic activity, VOX LACEA 23 December 2014.

2014. The good, the bad and the ugly: The socio-economic impact of drug cartels and their violence in Mexico, Department of Applied Economics, working paper 14-10,  Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona. (with Oviedo M.)

2014. Estimating the impact of Mexican drug cartels on crime, Department of Applied Economics, working paper 14-09, Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona. (with Conte A.)

2012. An Inquiry into the Use of Illegal Electoral Practices and Effects of Political Violence, CSAE WP/2012-16, University of Oxford.

2012. Determinants of Spanish Firms’ Life Cycle and Job Creation: A Pseudo-Panel Approach, DAE working paper 2012-09, Universidad Autonoma de Barcelona.

2010. Decentralization, accountability and the 2007 MPs elections in Kenya, CSAE WPS/2010-09, University of Oxford. Published in Journal of Development Studies.

2010. Occupational choice and inequality traps, CSAE WPS/2010-08, University of Oxford. Under review.

2010. The dynamics of the informal economy, CSAE WPS/2010-07, University of Oxford. Under review.

2010. The informal economy and growth, University of Oxford, Improving Institutions for Pro-Poor Growth iiG briefing paper 11.

2010. The role of ethnic identity and economic issues in the 2007 Kenyan Elections, CSAE WPS/2010-06, University of Oxford. Published in Development Policy Review.

2009. Decentralization and the MPs Elections in Kenya. University of Oxford, Improving Institutions for Pro-Poor Growth (iiG) Briefing Paper.

2009. Campaign finance distorts Nigerian elections, University of Oxford, Improving Institutions for Pro-Poor Growth iiG briefing paper 07.

2008. The 2007 Elections, Post-Conflict Recovery and Coalition Government in Kenya, University of Oxford, Improving Institutions for pro-poor Growth (iiG) Briefing Paper. (with Kimenyi, M. and Dercon S.)

2008. Tribalism as a Minimax-Regret Strategy: Evidence from Voting in the 2007 Kenya Elections, Afrobarometer,Working Paper 103. (with Kimenyi, M.). Under review.

2008. Identity, Grievances, and Economic Determinants of Voting in the 2007 Kenyan Elections, Department of Economics, University of Connecticut, Working Paper, 2008-38. (with Kimenyi, M.)

2008. Ethnicity, Violence and the 2007 Elections in Kenya, Afrobarometer Briefing Paper No.48. (with Dercon, S, Bratton, M., Kimenyi, M, and Bold, T.)

2008.Performance and Deprivation in English Local Government: Correlations and Possible Implications, Working Paper, Oxford Policy Institute. (with Haubrich, D. and McLean, I.) Published in Journal of International Review of Administrative Sciences.

2006. How performance assessment of public bodies may be falling short in England?, Working Paper, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. (with Haubrich, D. and McLean, I.) Published in Environment and Planning C Journal.

2006. Multiple imputations of missing data in the 2001 South African  census. Working Paper No.  4,  Centre  for the Analysis  of South African  Social  Policy, DSPSW, 2006, University of Oxford. (with Barnes H., and Noble M.)

2005. How European Union State Members adjust tax and benefit systems for inflation, EUROMOD, University of Cambridge. (with Immervoll, H. and Sutherland, H.)

2004. EUROMOD Country Report: United Kingdom 2001 policies, EUROMOD, University of Cambridge. (with Sutherland, H.)

Selected Published Government Research Reports

2009.  Leaving Benefits Behind II: Labour market transitions of workless people in Wales 1999-2005. The Welsh Assembly Government, UK. (with Anttila, C., Griggs, J., McLennan, D., Noble, M.)

2008.  Developing   Small  Area Measures on Fear of Crime: a feasibility study. Department for Communities and Local Government, UK. (with Withworth,  A.,   McLennan,   D., Noble   M.)

2007. Narrowing the Gap?   Modelling the NDC Programme impact   on   pupil   attainment   and  worklessness   at   individual   level   and   resultant   policy   implications. Department for Communities and Local Government, UK. (with Wilkinson, K.)

2007. Leaving Benefits Behind, Department for Communities and Local Government, UK. (with Antilla, C., Griggs, J., Mason, D., McLennan, D., Noble, M., Shung-King, M., Wilkinson, K.,Whitworth, A.)

2006. The child support grant: A Sub-provincial analysis of eligibility and take up in January 2005. National Department of Social Development, South Africa. (with Noble, M., Wright, G., Barnes, H., Noble, S., Ntshongwana, P., McLennan D., D. Avenell.)

2006.   Evaluating   the   Impact   of   the   Neighbourhood   Management   Programme   on Worklessness, Baseline Report. Research Report 26, Office of the Deputy Prime Minister, UK. (with McLennan, D., Antilla, C., Mason, D., Wilkinson, K., Mokhar, C,  Dibben, C., Smith, G., Noble,   M. )

2005. Worklessness in New Deal for Communities Areas: Findings from phase 1 of the National Evaluation. Research report for the National NDC Evaluation, Office of the Deputy Prime Minister, UK.  (with Noble, M., Antilla C. McLennan D., Covizzi I., Mason D., Wilkinson K.)

2005. The child support grant: A Sub-provincial analysis of eligibility and take up in January 2004. National Department of Social Development, South Africa. (with Noble, M., Wright, G., Barnes, H., Noble, S., Ntshongwana, P., McLennan D., D. Avenell)